Document Type : Original Article (Qualitative)
Authors
1
PhD student in Public Administration, Si.C., Islamic Azad University, Sirjan, Iran
2
Professor, Department of Management, Si.C.,Islamic Azad University, Sirjan, Iran
3
Assistant Professor, Department of Managment, Payam Noor University, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
The aim of this study is to develop a scenario for human resource development in the Traffic Police using a foresight approach. In terms of purpose, the study is applied-developmental, and in terms of research method, it was conducted qualitatively. The study population consisted of 14 Traffic Police managers. Participants were selected through purposive sampling based on the criteria of having at least 10 years of managerial experience and full familiarity with this field. MICMAC and Scenario Wizard were used to analyze the findings. The results showed that 11 drivers—including modern Traffic Police technologies, drivers’ behavioral and social changes, Traffic Police economic policies, revision of Traffic Police laws, global convergence in traffic management, demographic and aging challenges, development of traffic culture, public demands from the Traffic Police, emergency management in the Traffic Police, road traffic safety, and sustainable transformation of traffic management—affect the development of a human resource development scenario for the Traffic Police. Furthermore, according to the Scenario Wizard results, a total of 85 scenarios lie ahead for the Traffic Police. However, two scenarios, namely progress and development, and awareness enhancement, were identified as the most important and most probable pathways for achieving the intended objectives, with higher priority than the others.
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